Financial Time Series Forecasting with the Deep Learning Ensemble Model

نویسندگان

چکیده

With the continuous development of financial markets worldwide to tackle rapid changes such as climate change and global warming, there has been increasing recognition importance time series forecasting in market operation management. In this paper, we propose a new model based on deep learning ensemble model. The is constructed by taking advantage convolutional neural network (CNN), long short-term memory (LSTM) network, autoregressive moving average (ARMA) CNN-LSTM introduced spatiotemporal data feature, while ARMA used autocorrelation feature. These models are combined framework mixture linear nonlinear features series. empirical results using show that proposed ensemble-based achieved superior performance terms accuracy robustness compared with benchmark individual models.

برای دانلود رایگان متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Financial time series forecasting with machine learning techniques: a survey

Stock index forecasting is vital for making informed investment decisions. This paper surveys recent literature in the domain of machine learning techniques and artificial intelligence used to forecast stock market movements. The publications are categorised according to the machine learning technique used, the forecasting timeframe, the input variables used, and the evaluation techniques emplo...

متن کامل

Forecasting Financial Time Series with Multiple Kernel Learning

This paper introduces a forecasting procedure based on multivariate dynamic kernels to re-examine –under a non linear framework– the experimental tests reported by Welch and Goyal showing that several variables proposed in the academic literature are of no use to predict the equity premium under linear regressions. For this approach kernel functions for time series are used with multiple kernel...

متن کامل

Financial time series forecasting with a bio-inspired fuzzy model

0957-4174/$ see front matter 2012 Elsevier Ltd. A http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2012.02.135 ⇑ Corresponding author. E-mail address: jose-luis.aznarte@mines-paristech In general, times series forecasting is considered as a highly complex problem, which is particularly true for financial time series. In this paper, a fuzzy model evolved through a bio-inspired algorithm is proposed to produce a...

متن کامل

Financial Time Series Forecasting – a Machine Learning Approach

The Stock Market is known for its volatile and unstable nature. A particular stock could be thriving in one period and declining in the next. Stock traders make money from buying equity when they are at their lowest and selling when they are at their highest. The logical question would be: "What Causes Stock Prices To Change?". At the most fundamental level, the answer to this would be the dema...

متن کامل

Arbitrated Ensemble for Time Series Forecasting

This paper proposes an ensemble method for time series forecasting tasks. Combining different forecasting models is a common approach to tackle these problems. State-of-the-art methods track the loss of the available models and adapt their weights accordingly. Metalearning strategies such as stacking are also used in these tasks. We propose a metalearning approach for adaptively combining forec...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Mathematics

سال: 2023

ISSN: ['2227-7390']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/math11041054